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Timor-Leste U17 vs Sri Lanka U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026
Timor-Leste U17 Logo

Timor-Leste U17

2 - 1
FT
Sri Lanka U17 Logo

Sri Lanka U17

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Timor-Leste U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Timor-Leste U17
15%
Draws
28%
Sri Lanka U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Timor-Leste U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Timor-Leste U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Timor-Leste U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Timor-Leste U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Sri Lanka U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U17 Sri Lanka U17
Matches Played 9 11
Wins 4 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.22 0.91
Goals Conceded 3.11 3.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Timor-Leste U17 vs Sri Lanka U17
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U17 32 / 100
Sri Lanka U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U17 Sri Lanka U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sri Lanka U17 conceded in 82% of 11 recent games.

Timor-Leste U17 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (9 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Sri Lanka U17 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U17 VS Sri Lanka U17
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U17

(Home)
30 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
28 Nov
Brunei U17
0 : 2
Timor-Leste U17
26 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
0 : 3
Bahrain U17
24 Nov
China U17
14 : 0
Timor-Leste U17
22 Nov
Bangladesh U17
5 : 0
Timor-Leste U17
Page 1 of 2

Sri Lanka U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
28 Nov
Sri Lanka U17
0 : 8
China U17
26 Nov
Sri Lanka U17
0 : 5
Bangladesh U17
24 Nov
Bahrain U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
22 Nov
Brunei U17
0 : 4
Sri Lanka U17
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 5 5 0 0 42:0 15
2 Bangladesh U17 5 4 0 1 20:5 12
3 Bahrain U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
4 Timor-Leste U17 5 2 0 3 4:23 6
5 Sri Lanka U17 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
6 Brunei U17 5 0 0 5 0:36 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Laos U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
3 Pakistan U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
5 Cambodia U17 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Guam U17 5 0 0 5 1:43 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 5 5 0 0 30:0 15
2 Malaysia U17 5 4 0 1 21:5 12
3 Hong Kong U17 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
4 Singapore U17 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
5 Macau U17 5 1 1 3 3:12 4
6 Northern Mariana Islands U17 5 0 0 5 1:35 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U17 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 Iran U17 4 2 1 1 10:4 7
3 Lebanon U17 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
5 Chinese Taipei U17 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Iraq U17 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
5 Philippines U17 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 4 3 0 1 16:4 9
2 Turkmenistan U17 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
4 Mongolia U17 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 1:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U17 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Oman U17 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Syria U17 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
4 Afghanistan U17 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U17 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)