Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Timor-Leste U19 vs Indonesia U19

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U19 North Sumatra Stadium, Medan
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Salampessy R.
62' Event
Siregar I.
65' Event
Kaka A.

AI Match Summary

Indonesia U19 in this ASEAN Championship U19 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indonesia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Timor-Leste U19
15%
Draws
85%
Indonesia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Indonesia U19 have won more games recently than Timor-Leste U19.
  • Indonesia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Indonesia U19 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Timor-Leste U19 Clean Sheet 23%
Indonesia U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U19 Indonesia U19
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 9 25
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.42 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.45 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 ASEAN Championship U19
Timor-Leste U19 vs Indonesia U19
0:3
Jul 23, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
6:2
Nov 6, 2019 AFC Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
3:1
Aug 8, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
4:0
Nov 2, 2017 AFC Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Indonesia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salampessy R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siregar I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U19 10 / 100
Indonesia U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U19 Indonesia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Timor-Leste U19 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Indonesia U19 let in goals in 53% of their last 38 matches.

Difficult form: Indonesia U19 registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U19 VS Indonesia U19
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U19

(Home)
07 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
1 : 3
Myanmar U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Vietnam U19
3 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
23 Jul
Indonesia U19
6 : 2
Timor-Leste U19
20 Jul
Philippines U19
2 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
Page 1 of 7

Indonesia U19

(Away)
13 Jun
Cambodia U19
0 : 1
Indonesia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
07 Jun
Indonesia U19
2 : 1
Vietnam U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Indonesia U19
3 : 0
Myanmar U19
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U19 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Vietnam U19 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Myanmar U19 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Timor-Leste U19 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U19 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Malaysia U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Singapore U19 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Brunei U19 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U19 2 1 1 0 12:2 4
2 Cambodia U19 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Philippines U19 2 0 0 2 0:13 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams