Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024

Timor-Leste U23

0 - 6

Iraq U23

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Jasim A.

26'

Lawend H.

(Penalty)

44'

Lawend H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Iraq U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Timor-Leste U23

20%

Draws

16%

Iraq U23

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Timor-Leste U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Iraq U23 come out ahead of Timor-Leste U23 on wins alone.
Win probability leans Timor-Leste U23's way, sitting at 90%.
Iraq U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Iraq U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Timor-Leste U23	Iraq U23
Matches Played	31	33
Wins	8	16
Draws	3	5
Losses	20	12
Goals Scored	1.45	1.85
Goals Conceded	3.06	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23

Timor-Leste U23 vs Iraq U23

0:6

Aug 16, 2018 Asian Games

Timor-Leste U23 vs Iraq U23

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawend H.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jasim A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U23 85 / 100

Iraq U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Timor-Leste U23 Iraq U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timor-Leste U23 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Iraq U23 let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Iraq U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U23 VS Iraq U23

3 Goals Scored 1

3 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 63%

100% Over 2.5 38%

100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U23

(Home)

09 Sept

Timor-Leste U23

6 : 0

Northern Mariana Islands U23

06 Sept

Timor-Leste U23

0 : 6

Australia U23

03 Sept

China U23

2 : 1

Timor-Leste U23

19 Jul

Timor-Leste U23

0 : 4

Thailand U23

16 Jul

Myanmar U23

4 : 4

Timor-Leste U23

Page 1 of 7

Iraq U23

(Away)

25 Sept

Serbia U21

3 : 0

Iraq U23

09 Jun

Russia U21

1 : 0

Iraq U23

05 Jun

Russia U21

5 : 1

Iraq U23

14 Jan

Iraq U23

1 : 2

Australia U23

11 Jan

Thailand U23

1 : 1

Iraq U23

Page 1 of 7