Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Timor-Leste U23 vs Iraq U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Jasim A.
26' Event
Lawend H.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Lawend H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Iraq U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Timor-Leste U23
20%
Draws
16%
Iraq U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Timor-Leste U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iraq U23 come out ahead of Timor-Leste U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Timor-Leste U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Iraq U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U23 Iraq U23
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.85
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Iraq U23
0:6
Aug 16, 2018 Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Iraq U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawend H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jasim A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U23 85 / 100
Iraq U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U23 Iraq U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timor-Leste U23 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Iraq U23 let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Iraq U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U23 VS Iraq U23
3 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 7

Iraq U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
Thailand U23
1 : 1
Iraq U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Oman U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Syria U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:23 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Myanmar U23 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
4 Qatar U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Singapore U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Guam U23 3 0 1 2 2:12 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Iran U23 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Afghanistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 21:2 7
2 Kuwait U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 0:21 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 China U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
4 Maldives U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Laos U23 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
4 North Korea U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U23 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 5:9 4
3 Lebanon U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U23 2 2 0 0 11:0 6
2 Turkmenistan U23 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Chinese Taipei U23 2 0 0 2 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams