Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Timor-Leste U23 vs Northern Mariana Islands U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Freitas L.
45' Event
Bakhito A.
81' Event
Ribeiro P.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Asian Cup U23 game between Timor-Leste U23 and Northern Mariana Islands U23 finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Timor-Leste U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Timor-Leste U23
6%
Draws
4%
Northern Mariana Islands U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Timor-Leste U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Timor-Leste U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Timor-Leste U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Northern Mariana Islands U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U23 Northern Mariana Islands U23
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 7 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 20 3
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 10.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Northern Mariana Islands U23
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhito A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Freitas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Northern Mariana Islands U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U23 85 / 100
Northern Mariana Islands U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U23 Northern Mariana Islands U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Mariana Islands U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Timor-Leste U23 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Northern Mariana Islands U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U23 VS Northern Mariana Islands U23
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 10
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jordan U23330019:19
2Turkmenistan U2332018:36
3Bhutan U2331023:143
4Chinese Taipei U2330032:140
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U23330011:29
2Kuwait U2331112:64
3Afghanistan U2331022:53
4Myanmar U2330122:41
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam U2333004:09
2Yemen U2332013:26
3Bangladesh U2331024:43
4Singapore U2330032:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U23321020:07
2China U23321012:17
3Timor-Leste U2331027:83
4Northern Mariana Islands U2330030:300
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kyrgyzstan U23321010:37
2Uzbekistan U2332108:37
3Palestine U2331027:43
4Sri Lanka U2330030:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thailand U23321010:37
2Lebanon U2332106:27
3Malaysia U2331028:33
4Mongolia U2330030:160
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq U2332109:17
2Cambodia U2331201:05
3Oman U2331111:14
4Pakistan U2330031:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qatar U23330017:29
2India U2332019:26
3Bahrain U23310211:43
4Brunei U2330030:290
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran U23330013:29
2United Arab Emirates U23320117:36
3Hong Kong U2331021:63
4Guam U2330030:200
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U23330013:09
2Indonesia U2331115:14
3Laos U2331113:84
4Macau U2330031:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Syria U2333007:39
2Philippines U2332016:26
3Tajikistan U2331024:23
4Nepal U2330032:120