Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Timor-Leste vs Brunei

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship KLFA Stadium, Kuala Lumpur
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Aminuddin M. A.
43' Event
Ali Rahman A.
Assist: Norsamri M.
56' Event
Cruz Z.
Assist: Farrugia L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Timor-Leste
15%
Draws
0%
Brunei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brunei carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Timor-Leste's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Brunei arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Timor-Leste, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Timor-Leste have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Timor-Leste Clean Sheet 20%
Brunei Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste Brunei
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.83 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.73 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Timor-Leste vs Brunei
3:1
Jun 2, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Brunei vs Timor-Leste
0:3
Oct 15, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Timor-Leste vs Brunei
0:0
Oct 8, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Brunei vs Timor-Leste
0:1
Nov 8, 2022 ASEAN Championship
Timor-Leste vs Brunei
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes Osorio C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Brunei Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Rahman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste 85 / 100
Brunei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste Brunei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brunei let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Brunei registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Timor-Leste found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste VS Brunei
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste

(Home)
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Singapore
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
24 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 7
Vietnam
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
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Brunei

(Away)
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
02 Jun
Brunei
0 : 3
Timor-Leste
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Yemen
9 : 0
Brunei
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Brunei 1
Timor-Leste 6