Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Timor-Leste vs Brunei

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 National Stadium, Dili
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Azaman N.
54'
Sub
Azman H. In: Sisa A.
Out: Azman H.
54'
Sub
Ismail N. In: Suhaimi M. K. S.
Out: Ismail N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this ASEAN Championship 2024 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Timor-Leste
15%
Draws
0%
Brunei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brunei have won more games recently than Timor-Leste.
  • Timor-Leste are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Brunei arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Timor-Leste, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Timor-Leste here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Timor-Leste Clean Sheet 68%
Brunei Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste Brunei
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.83 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.73 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Timor-Leste vs Brunei
3:1
Jun 2, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Brunei vs Timor-Leste
0:3
Oct 15, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Timor-Leste vs Brunei
0:0
Oct 8, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Brunei vs Timor-Leste
0:1
Nov 8, 2022 ASEAN Championship
Timor-Leste vs Brunei
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste 95 / 100
Brunei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste Brunei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brunei has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Brunei has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Timor-Leste scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste VS Brunei
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste

(Home)
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Singapore
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
24 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 7
Vietnam
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
Page 1 of 6

Brunei

(Away)
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
02 Jun
Brunei
0 : 3
Timor-Leste
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Yemen
9 : 0
Brunei
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Brunei 0
Timor-Leste 1