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Timor-Leste W vs Indonesia W

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Loupatty E.
28' Event
Nahon E.

AI Match Summary

Timor-Leste W host Indonesia W in the ASEAN Championship Women. This has Indonesia W written all over it on paper. Timor-Leste W have averaged 0 scored and 4.2 conceded recently, against Indonesia W's 0.75 scored and 3.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Timor-Leste W have won 0 to Indonesia W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Indonesia W. Indonesia W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Timor-Leste W
6%
Draws
90%
Indonesia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Indonesia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Indonesia W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Timor-Leste W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Indonesia W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in ASEAN Championship Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Timor-Leste W Clean Sheet 23%
Indonesia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste W Indonesia W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 4.2 3.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.20 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 ASEAN Championship Women
Timor-Leste W vs Indonesia W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Indonesia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Loupatty E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nahon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste W 10 / 100
Indonesia W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste W Indonesia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timor-Leste W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Indonesia W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Timor-Leste W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Indonesia W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste W VS Indonesia W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
4.2 Goals Conceded 3.5
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Laos W10101:11
2Malaysia W10101:11
3Singapore W00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indonesia W11002:03
2Cambodia W00000:00
3Timor-Leste W10010:20