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Tindastoll vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Fotbolti.net Cup 2025 Sauðárkróksvöllur A, Saudarkrokur
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Match Events

6' Event
Milosevic S.
64' Event
Arnthorsson S.
66' Event
Gislason J.

AI Match Summary

Tindastoll in this Fotbolti.net Cup 2025 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tindastoll
15%
Draws
26%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tindastoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tindastoll at 1.93 per game, Throttur Vogar at 1.68.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Tindastoll taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Tindastoll, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tindastoll Clean Sheet 20%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tindastoll Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 15
Draws 0 3
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.93 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Fotbolti.net Cup
Tindastoll vs Throttur Vogar
3:2
Aug 27, 2019 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Tindastoll
2:0
Jun 15, 2019 Division 2
Tindastoll vs Throttur Vogar
2:2
Aug 1, 2018 Division 2
Tindastoll vs Throttur Vogar
0:0
May 19, 2018 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Tindastoll
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tindastoll Compare

Top Goalscorer Milosevic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gislason J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnthorsson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heimisson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tindastoll 85 / 100
Throttur Vogar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tindastoll Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tindastoll Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tindastoll found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Throttur Vogar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Tindastoll remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Throttur Vogar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tindastoll

(Home)
03 Apr
Tindastoll
0 : 1
Njardvik
29 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Magni
21 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Fjallabyggd
26 Sept
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Tindastoll
19 Sept
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 6

Throttur Vogar

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
KV Reykjavik 1
Hottur / Huginn 2
Grotta 3
KFS 0
KFA 3
Kari 0
Olafsvik 3
Reynir 1
Tindastoll 3
Throttur Vogar 2
KFG Gardabaer 3
Aegir 2
Arbaer 3
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Alftanes 4
Ymir 7
Quarter-finals
Hottur / Huginn 1
Grotta 2
KFA 3
Olafsvik 4
Tindastoll 4
KFG Gardabaer 1
Kormakur/Hvot 3
Ymir 1
Semi-finals
Grotta 3
Olafsvik 4
Tindastoll 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Final
Olafsvik 2
Tindastoll 0