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Tindastoll W vs Fylkir W

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Besta deild Women 2024 Sauðárkrókur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tindastoll W play Fylkir W in the Besta deild Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tindastoll W averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Fylkir W averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Tindastoll W won 3, Fylkir W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 16, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.15 for Tindastoll W and 2.69 for Fylkir W. This points to a Tindastoll W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Tindastoll W
15%
Draws
30%
Fylkir W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tindastoll W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Tindastoll W picked up more points recently compared to Fylkir W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.15 vs 2.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Tindastoll W Clean Sheet 10%
Fylkir W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tindastoll W Fylkir W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.53 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.7 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 League Cup Women
Tindastoll W vs Fylkir W
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Besta deild Women
Tindastoll W vs Fylkir W
3:0
Jul 21, 2024 Besta deild Women
Fylkir W vs Tindastoll W
4:1
May 9, 2024 Besta deild Women
Tindastoll W vs Fylkir W
3:0
Feb 10, 2024 League Cup Women
Tindastoll W vs Fylkir W
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tindastoll W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornsdottir E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Fylkir W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tindastoll W 52 / 100
Fylkir W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tindastoll W Fylkir W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tindastoll W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tindastoll W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tindastoll W attacking → ← attacking Fylkir W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tindastoll W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Fylkir W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tindastoll W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fylkir W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 23
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67