Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tiquipaya vs 1 de Mayo

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tiquipaya play 1 de Mayo in the Copa Simon Bolivar. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tiquipaya averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. 1 de Mayo averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Tiquipaya won 1, 1 de Mayo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 8, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Tiquipaya and 1.50 for 1 de Mayo. This points to a Tiquipaya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tiquipaya
21%
Draws
37%
1 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tiquipaya picked up more points recently compared to 1 de Mayo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 16%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiquipaya 1 de Mayo
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 0
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.87 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs 1 de Mayo
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs Tiquipaya
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiquipaya 41 / 100
1 de Mayo 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiquipaya 1 de Mayo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tiquipaya or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tiquipaya attacking → ← attacking 1 de Mayo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiquipaya scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

1 de Mayo let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Tiquipaya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

1 de Mayo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 27
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63