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Tiquipaya vs Alianza Beni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza Beni in this Nacional B 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza Beni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Tiquipaya
15%
Draws
40%
Alianza Beni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tiquipaya have won more games recently than Alianza Beni.
  • Model gives Tiquipaya a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 10%
Alianza Beni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiquipaya Alianza Beni
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Alianza Beni vs Tiquipaya
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs Alianza Beni
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiquipaya 83 / 100
Alianza Beni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiquipaya Alianza Beni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiquipaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tiquipaya scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Alianza Beni let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Tiquipaya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tiquipaya VS Alianza Beni
3.13 Goals Scored 2.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiquipaya

(Home)
27 Sept
Virginia
1 : 1
Tiquipaya
19 Sept
Tiquipaya
6 : 0
Universitario Beni
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
05 Sept
Universitario Beni
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
30 Aug
San Martin de Yacuiba
1 : 0
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

Alianza Beni

(Away)
24 Nov
Alianza Beni
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
15 Nov
Academia del Balompie
8 : 0
Alianza Beni
10 Nov
Alianza Beni
5 : 0
Oruro Royal
07 Nov
Oruro Royal
3 : 1
Alianza Beni
03 Nov
Alianza Beni
3 : 0
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CDN Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Petrolero de Yacuiba 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Stormers SC 6 2 1 3 6:14 7
4 Millonarios 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 5 0 1 22:7 15
2 Amanecer 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
3 Ciclon 6 1 2 3 8:14 5
4 El Tejar 6 0 2 4 9:24 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Beni 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 Tiquipaya 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Moto Club 6 0 1 5 7:20 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
2 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
3 Fatic 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oruro Royal 6 4 0 2 15:16 12
2 Real Oruro 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 Destroyers 6 1 3 2 9:8 6
4 Rio San Juan 6 0 3 3 8:14 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia del Balompie 6 3 2 1 19:11 11
2 3 de Febrero 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
4 Vaca Diez 6 0 2 4 3:16 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams