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Tiquipaya vs Aurora

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tiquipaya play Aurora in the Nacional B 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tiquipaya averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Aurora averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Tiquipaya won 0, Aurora won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 14, 2016 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Tiquipaya and 1.36 for Aurora. This points to a Aurora double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tiquipaya
22%
Draws
18%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Tiquipaya has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aurora.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Tiquipaya.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Nacional B 2016/2017 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 18%
Aurora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiquipaya Aurora
Matches Played 38 35
Wins 16 13
Draws 12 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs Aurora
0:2
Nov 26, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Tiquipaya
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiquipaya 58 / 100
Aurora 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiquipaya Aurora

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiquipaya scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Aurora let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tiquipaya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aurora lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aurora
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Destroyers642012:614
2Real America641112:513
3Universitario Beni62139:107
4Miraflores60066:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aurora852116:817
2Ramiro Castillo852113:517
3Always Ready831412:910
4Tiquipaya831413:1110
5Deportivo Escara80265:262
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Bermejo851210:816
2Ciclon842215:1114
3Fancesa841317:813
4Quebracho Villa Montes831421:1210
5Rosario Central81169:334