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Tiradentes vs Caucaia

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ailton
19' Event
Branquinho
27' Event
Douglas Barbosa
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Caucaia in this Cearense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caucaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tiradentes
20%
Draws
64%
Caucaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caucaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Caucaia have won more games recently than Tiradentes.
  • Caucaia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Tiradentes Clean Sheet 11%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiradentes Caucaia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2025 Cearense 2
Tiradentes vs Caucaia
2:4
Feb 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Tiradentes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiradentes Compare

Top Goalscorer Branquinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruninho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Caucaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Viana
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ailton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiradentes 27 / 100
Caucaia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiradentes Caucaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caucaia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiradentes found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Caucaia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Caucaia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiradentes VS Caucaia
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiradentes

(Home)
23 Mar
Atletico Cearense
2 : 2
Tiradentes
17 Mar
Tiradentes
1 : 2
Itapipoca
13 Mar
Tiradentes
0 : 4
Maranguape
10 Mar
Tiradentes
2 : 4
Caucaia
21 Feb
Tiradentes
1 : 3
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 6

Caucaia

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)