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Tiradentes vs Itapipoca

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Junior M.
75' Event
Carlos Eduardo
90' Event
Valter Julio

AI Match Summary

Itapipoca in this Cearense 2 2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Tiradentes
30%
Draws
62%
Itapipoca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Tiradentes haven't matched Itapipoca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Itapipoca a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Itapipoca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Itapipoca, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Itapipoca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tiradentes Clean Sheet 20%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiradentes Itapipoca
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 2 19
Draws 9 10
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2025 Cearense 2
Tiradentes vs Itapipoca
1:2
Feb 13, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Tiradentes
1:0
Apr 10, 2024 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Tiradentes
3:2
Apr 7, 2024 Cearense 2
Tiradentes vs Itapipoca
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Tiradentes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiradentes Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Eduardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valter Julio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiradentes 10 / 100
Itapipoca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiradentes Itapipoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itapipoca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiradentes found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Itapipoca let in goals in 62% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tiradentes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Itapipoca
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiradentes

(Home)
23 Mar
Atletico Cearense
2 : 2
Tiradentes
17 Mar
Tiradentes
1 : 2
Itapipoca
13 Mar
Tiradentes
0 : 4
Maranguape
10 Mar
Tiradentes
2 : 4
Caucaia
21 Feb
Tiradentes
1 : 3
Atletico Cearense
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Itapipoca

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tirol -
TBD -
Itapipoca 5
Tiradentes 3
Icasa -
TBD -
Cariri FC 2
Guarani de Juazeiro 1
Semi-finals
Tirol 6
Itapipoca 4
Icasa 1
Cariri FC 2
Final
Tirol 3
Cariri FC 0