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Tiradentes vs Itapipoca

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
de Arruda K. B.
27'
Pereira A.
90' Event
Marcos

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2025 game between Tiradentes and Itapipoca finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapipoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Tiradentes
30%
Draws
62%
Itapipoca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Itapipoca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Itapipoca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Itapipoca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tiradentes Clean Sheet 20%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiradentes Itapipoca
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 2 19
Draws 9 9
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2025 Cearense 2
Tiradentes vs Itapipoca
1:2
Feb 13, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Tiradentes
1:0
Apr 10, 2024 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Tiradentes
3:2
Apr 7, 2024 Cearense 2
Tiradentes vs Itapipoca
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Tiradentes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiradentes Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer de Arruda K. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Joao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiradentes 10 / 100
Itapipoca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiradentes Itapipoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itapipoca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiradentes's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Itapipoca conceded in 61% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Tiradentes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Itapipoca
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiradentes

(Home)
23 Mar
Atletico Cearense
2 : 2
Tiradentes
17 Mar
Tiradentes
1 : 2
Itapipoca
13 Mar
Tiradentes
0 : 4
Maranguape
10 Mar
Tiradentes
2 : 4
Caucaia
21 Feb
Tiradentes
1 : 3
Atletico Cearense
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Itapipoca

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)