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Tirol vs A. Lustenau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tirol host A. Lustenau in the Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. A. Lustenau have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Tirol have conceded 1.63 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Tirol slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward A. Lustenau. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tirol
15%
Draws
34%
A. Lustenau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A. Lustenau lately — more wins on the board than Tirol.
  • Win probability leans Tirol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tirol Clean Sheet 16%
A. Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirol A. Lustenau
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Bundesliga
A. Lustenau vs Tirol
0:4
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
A. Lustenau vs Tirol
0:6
Jun 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Tirol vs A. Lustenau
2:2
Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Tirol vs A. Lustenau
0:0
Apr 27, 2024 Bundesliga
Tirol vs A. Lustenau
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirol 84 / 100
A. Lustenau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirol A. Lustenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirol's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

A. Lustenau has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tirol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirol VS A. Lustenau
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirol

(Home)
18 Oct
Wolfsberger AC
0 : 2
Tirol
10 Oct
Tirol
1 : 2
Ried
01 Oct
Regensburg
0 : 6
Tirol
24 Sept
FC Liefering
0 : 1
Tirol
18 Sept
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0
Tirol
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A. Lustenau

(Away)
17 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
LASK Linz
11 Oct
Hartberg
4 : 3
A. Lustenau
03 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 1
Schalke
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1
SW Bregenz
19 Sept
A. Lustenau
2 : 0
Altach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 9 8 0 1 26:8 24
2 Salzburg 9 6 3 0 21:4 21
3 LASK Linz 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
4 Sturm Graz 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Ried 9 4 2 3 16:15 14
6 Tirol 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
7 Hartberg 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
8 Grazer AK 9 2 3 4 7:22 9
9 A. Lustenau 9 2 2 5 11:19 8
10 Austria Vienna 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
11 Altach 9 2 0 7 8:15 6
12 Wolfsberger AC 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)