Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tirol vs BW Linz

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Tirol Logo

Tirol

1 - 1
FT
BW Linz Logo

BW Linz

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Taferner M.
16' Event
Baden Frederiksen N.
Assist: Muller V.
42'
Kubatta D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Tirol and BW Linz finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Tirol
15%
Draws
40%
BW Linz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BW Linz come out ahead of Tirol on wins alone.
  • Tirol are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tirol Clean Sheet 11%
BW Linz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirol BW Linz
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.93 2
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Tirol vs BW Linz
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Bundesliga
BW Linz vs Tirol
5:0
Mar 1, 2026 Bundesliga
BW Linz vs Tirol
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Bundesliga
Tirol vs BW Linz
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Bundesliga
BW Linz vs Tirol
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Baden Frederiksen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

BW Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Seidl S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirol 40 / 100
BW Linz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirol BW Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tirol scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: BW Linz conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Tirol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirol VS BW Linz
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirol

(Home)
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
05 Sept
SV Leithaprodersdorf
0 : 4
Tirol
02 Sept
Austria Vienna
0 : 1
Tirol
28 Aug
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
Tirol
16 Aug
Tirol
0 : 3
Salzburg
Page 1 of 6

BW Linz

(Away)
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
05 Sept
BW Linz
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
23 Aug
BW Linz
5 : 1
ASK Voitsberg
14 Aug
St. Polten
0 : 1
BW Linz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Ried 32 12 6 14 38:42 28
8 Wolfsberger AC 32 11 8 13 41:42 28
9 Grazer AK 32 9 10 13 42:45 27
10 Altach 32 10 12 10 36:39 27
11 Tirol 32 10 10 12 40:52 24
12 BW Linz 32 8 5 19 37:49 21
Relegation - 2. Liga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)