Sport Picks

Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Tivoli Stadion Tirol

Tirol

1 - 1

BW Linz

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Taferner M.

16'

Baden Frederiksen N.

Assist: Muller V.

42'

Kubatta D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Tirol and BW Linz finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Tirol

Draws

90%

BW Linz

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: BW Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Tirol come out ahead of BW Linz on wins alone.
BW Linz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Tirol Clean Sheet 17%

BW Linz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tirol	BW Linz
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	8	7
Draws	8	11
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	2.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Bundesliga

Tirol vs BW Linz

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Apr 11, 2026 Bundesliga

BW Linz vs Tirol

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

5:0

Mar 1, 2026 Bundesliga

BW Linz vs Tirol

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

2:3

Oct 25, 2025 Bundesliga

Tirol vs BW Linz

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Mar 2, 2025 Bundesliga

BW Linz vs Tirol

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Baden Frederiksen N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

BW Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Seidl S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirol 10 / 100

BW Linz 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tirol BW Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BWL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tirol scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: BW Linz conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Tirol went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirol VS BW Linz

2.25 Goals Scored 1

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Ried	32	12	6	14	38:42	28
8	Wolfsberger AC	32	11	8	13	41:42	28
9	Grazer AK	32	9	10	13	42:45	27
10	Altach	32	10	12	10	36:39	27
11	Tirol	32	10	10	12	40:52	24
12	BW Linz	32	8	5	19	37:49	21