Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tirol vs Ceara B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Aloisio

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Tirol
20%
Draws
42%
Ceara B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Tirol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Tirol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tirol Clean Sheet 68%
Ceara B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirol Ceara B
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 10 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Tirol vs Ceara B
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Copa Fares Lopes
Ceara B vs Tirol
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Ceara B Compare

Top Goalscorer Aloisio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirol 41 / 100
Ceara B 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirol Ceara B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tirol scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Ceara B has conceded goals in 78% of their last 9 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tirol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirol VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirol

(Home)
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Tirol
0 : 0
Ferroviario
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
16 May
Tirol
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
09 May
Tirol
1 : 0
AE Altos
Page 1 of 7

Ceara B

(Away)
29 Nov
Ceara B
1 : 2
Maracana
17 Nov
Ceara B
2 : 1
Caucaia
05 Nov
Maracana
2 : 0
Ceara B
01 Nov
Tirol
0 : 1
Ceara B
26 Oct
Ceara B
4 : 0
Vila Real
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza B 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
2 Itapipoca 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Ferroviario 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
4 Quixada 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
5 Atletico Cearense 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara B 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Tirol 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 Maracana 4 3 0 1 4:1 9
4 Vila Real 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 Caucaia 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)