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Tirsense vs Berco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tirsense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tirsense
15%
Draws
26%
Berco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Tirsense have won more games recently than Berco.
  • Tirsense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Berco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Berco
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 12 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.24 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Berco
3:2
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Berco vs Tirsense
2:2
Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Tirsense vs Berco
2:1
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Berco vs Tirsense
0:1
Feb 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Tirsense vs Berco
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 95 / 100
Berco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Berco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tirsense's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Tirsense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
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Berco

(Away)
08 May
Berco
1 : 3
Amarante FC
01 May
Tirsense
3 : 2
Berco
24 Apr
Berco
1 : 0
SC Vila Real
10 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Berco
03 Apr
Berco
2 : 2
Tirsense
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