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Tirsense vs CD Portosantense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Gil F.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between Tirsense and CD Portosantense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tirsense
20%
Draws
38%
CD Portosantense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tirsense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tirsense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
CD Portosantense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense CD Portosantense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs CD Portosantense
1:0
Oct 28, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Portosantense vs Tirsense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

CD Portosantense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 68 / 100
CD Portosantense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense CD Portosantense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: CD Portosantense conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tirsense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 7

CD Portosantense

(Away)
07 Apr
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
24 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 2
Dumiense
17 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
09 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 1
SC Vila Real
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)