Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tirsense vs CDC Montalegre

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Martins J.
81' Event
Ponce J.
90' Event
Araujo P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between Tirsense and CDC Montalegre finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tirsense
30%
Draws
28%
CDC Montalegre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tirsense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tirsense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense CDC Montalegre
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs CDC Montalegre
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Tirsense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ponce J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

CDC Montalegre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 86 / 100
CDC Montalegre 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense CDC Montalegre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tirsense scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

CDC Montalegre has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tirsense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS CDC Montalegre
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.8
25% Over 1.5 60%
13% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 7

CDC Montalegre

(Away)
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)