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Tirsense vs CDC Montalegre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo, Santo Tirso
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tirsense host CDC Montalegre in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. CDC Montalegre have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Tirsense have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.36. Past meetings favor Tirsense slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.00) point toward Tirsense. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tirsense
20%
Draws
46%
CDC Montalegre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDC Montalegre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CDC Montalegre haven't matched Tirsense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 20%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense CDC Montalegre
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.36 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs CDC Montalegre
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Tirsense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 32 / 100
CDC Montalegre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense CDC Montalegre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDC Montalegre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

CDC Montalegre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tirsense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS CDC Montalegre
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
01 Nov
GD Braganca
0 : 1
Tirsense
25 Oct
Tirsense
3 : 5
Maia Lidador
11 Oct
Braga B
3 : 2
Tirsense
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
Page 1 of 7

CDC Montalegre

(Away)
01 Nov
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Maria de Fonte
25 Oct
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
11 Oct
GD Braganca
0 : 2
CDC Montalegre
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)