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Tirsense vs Maia Lidador - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo, Santo Tirso
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Embalo B.
10' Event
Shuabiu N.
19' Event
Silva P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Tirsense and Maia Lidador finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maia Lidador.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tirsense
20%
Draws
46%
Maia Lidador
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maia Lidador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Tirsense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 20%
Maia Lidador Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Maia Lidador
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 13 3
Draws 9 2
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Maia Lidador
3:5
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Maia Lidador vs Tirsense
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Shuabiu N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Maia Lidador Compare

Top Goalscorer Embalo B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prentice-Whyte M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 36 / 100
Maia Lidador 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Maia Lidador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maia Lidador Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Maia Lidador conceded in 86% of 14 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Tirsense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS Maia Lidador
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
01 Nov
GD Braganca
0 : 1
Tirsense
25 Oct
Tirsense
3 : 5
Maia Lidador
11 Oct
Braga B
3 : 2
Tirsense
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
Page 1 of 6

Maia Lidador

(Away)
01 Nov
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Chaves B
25 Oct
Tirsense
3 : 5
Maia Lidador
11 Oct
Maia Lidador
1 : 1
Maria de Fonte
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)