Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tirsense vs Merelinense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tirsense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tirsense
30%
Draws
39%
Merelinense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Tirsense have won more games recently than Merelinense.
  • Win probability leans Tirsense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Merelinense
Matches Played 40 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Tirsense
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Merelinense
2:1
Feb 12, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Merelinense vs Tirsense
2:2
Oct 2, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Tirsense vs Merelinense
2:0
Mar 20, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Merelinense vs Tirsense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 50 / 100
Merelinense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Merelinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Merelinense let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tirsense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS Merelinense
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
18 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 1
Chaves B
12 Apr
AD Limianos
0 : 0
Tirsense
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Merelinense

(Away)
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
12 Mar
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Merelinense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)