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Tirsense vs Os Sandinenses

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Joao P.

AI Match Summary

Tirsense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tirsense
15%
Draws
37%
Os Sandinenses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Tirsense have won more games recently than Os Sandinenses.
  • Win probability leans Tirsense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Tirsense here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Os Sandinenses Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Os Sandinenses
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Os Sandinenses vs Tirsense
3:4
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Os Sandinenses
1:0
Jan 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Os Sandinenses
1:0
Aug 20, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Os Sandinenses vs Tirsense
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Os Sandinenses Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 68 / 100
Os Sandinenses 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Os Sandinenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Os Sandinenses conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tirsense's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Tirsense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
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Os Sandinenses

(Away)
13 Apr
Os Sandinenses
3 : 4
Tirsense
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
29 Mar
Os Sandinenses
3 : 1
SC Vianense
16 Mar
SC Vila Real
1 : 2
Os Sandinenses
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)