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Tiszaujvaros vs Karcagi

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Club Friendly 2025
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Match Events

' Event
Toth B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Tiszaujvaros and Karcagi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karcagi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tiszaujvaros
22%
Draws
60%
Karcagi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Karcagi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Tiszaujvaros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Karcagi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tiszaujvaros Clean Sheet 13%
Karcagi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiszaujvaros Karcagi
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Tiszaujvaros vs Karcagi
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Tiszaujvaros vs Karcagi
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 NB III - Northeast
Karcagi vs Tiszaujvaros
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 NB III - Northeast
Tiszaujvaros vs Karcagi
2:0
Sep 24, 2023 NB III - Northeast
Karcagi vs Tiszaujvaros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiszaujvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Toth B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Karcagi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiszaujvaros 19 / 100
Karcagi 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiszaujvaros Karcagi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiszaujvaros found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Karcagi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Karcagi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tiszaujvaros VS Karcagi
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiszaujvaros

(Home)
25 Jul
Tiszaujvaros
0 : 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye
24 May
Tiszaujvaros
1 : 1
Tarpa
17 May
Debrecen II
4 : 1
Tiszaujvaros
10 May
Tiszaujvaros
1 : 1
Kisvarda FC II
03 May
Nyiregyhaza II
8 : 2
Tiszaujvaros
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Karcagi

(Away)
26 Jul
Szentlorinc SE
0 : 0
Karcagi
17 May
Kozarmisleny SE
2 : 1
Karcagi
10 May
Karcagi
0 : 1
Tiszakecske
03 May
Karcagi
0 : 1
Szentlorinc SE
26 Apr
Bekescsaba 1912
0 : 0
Karcagi
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