Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tiverton vs Weymouth

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Reid R.
54' Event
Brooks C.
62' Event
Burrows M.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Tiverton and Weymouth finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Weymouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tiverton
15%
Draws
44%
Weymouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Weymouth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Weymouth here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 10%
Weymouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiverton Weymouth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 1 4
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Weymouth
0:4
Sep 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Weymouth vs Tiverton
4:1
Jan 5, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Weymouth vs Tiverton
2:1
Oct 16, 2018 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Weymouth
1:2
Nov 14, 2017 Southern Premier League
Weymouth vs Tiverton
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiverton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Weymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brooks C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiverton 34 / 100
Weymouth 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiverton Weymouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weymouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Weymouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Tiverton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tiverton scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tiverton VS Weymouth
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiverton

(Home)
19 Sept
Tiverton
0 : 1
Sholing
12 Sept
Tiverton
3 : 0
Larkhall
05 Sept
St. Blazey
1 : 2
Tiverton
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2
Tiverton
18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0
Brixham
Page 1 of 6

Weymouth

(Away)
19 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
1 : 3
Weymouth
12 Sept
Hartpury University
2 : 3
Weymouth
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2
Weymouth
29 Aug
Weymouth
5 : 1
Melksham
01 Aug
Frome Town
0 : 0
Weymouth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)