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Tivoli vs FC Dunbeholden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tivoli host FC Dunbeholden in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Tivoli at 1.1 goals for, 1.57 against; FC Dunbeholden at 1.12 for, 1.76 against. Head-to-head, Tivoli have won 4 to FC Dunbeholden's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.44) back FC Dunbeholden to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tivoli
20%
Draws
22%
FC Dunbeholden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tivoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Dunbeholden have won more games recently than Tivoli.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Tivoli taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tivoli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 16%
FC Dunbeholden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tivoli FC Dunbeholden
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs FC Dunbeholden
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs FC Dunbeholden
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Tivoli
1:0
Mar 19, 2025 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Tivoli
2:4
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs FC Dunbeholden
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tivoli 84 / 100
FC Dunbeholden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tivoli FC Dunbeholden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tivoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tivoli's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Dunbeholden let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Tivoli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tivoli VS FC Dunbeholden
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tivoli

(Home)
12 Oct
Tivoli
3 : 4
Racing United
04 Oct
Tru-Juice FC
0 : 2
Tivoli
27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1
Chapelton
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
Page 1 of 6

FC Dunbeholden

(Away)
11 Oct
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 0
Molynes United
04 Oct
Montego Bay
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2
Mount Pleasant
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montego Bay 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Racing United 5 4 0 1 14:6 12
3 Waterhouse 5 3 2 0 15:2 11
4 Tivoli 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
6 Cavalier 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
7 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
8 Chapelton 5 1 2 2 3:10 5
9 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
10 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
11 FC Dunbeholden 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
12 Molynes United 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
13 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
14 Humble Lions 5 0 2 3 2:13 2
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)