Sport Picks

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Tivoli vs Harbour View

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Edward Seaga Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Brown R.
26' Event
Brown R.
33' Event
Wellington R.

AI Match Summary

Tivoli in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tivoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tivoli
20%
Draws
34%
Harbour View
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tivoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tivoli lately — more wins on the board than Harbour View.
  • Model gives Tivoli a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 68%
Harbour View Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tivoli Harbour View
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Harbour View
3:2
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Harbour View vs Tivoli
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Harbour View
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Harbour View
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Harbour View vs Tivoli
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tivoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellington R.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Harbour View Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tivoli 68 / 100
Harbour View 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tivoli Harbour View

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tivoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harbour View let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tivoli scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Tivoli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tivoli VS Harbour View
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tivoli

(Home)
04 Oct
Tru-Juice FC
0 : 2
Tivoli
27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1
Chapelton
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0
Tivoli
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Harbour View

(Away)
06 May
Cavalier
2 : 1
Harbour View
03 May
Molynes United
0 : 1
Harbour View
26 Apr
Harbour View
4 : 3
Montego Bay
23 Apr
FC Dunbeholden
4 : 0
Harbour View
19 Apr
Harbour View
0 : 1
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)