Sport Picks
Tivoli vs Mount Pleasant
Jamaica
Premier League 2025/2026 Edward Seaga Sports Complex, Kingston 
Match Events
9'
9'
Anglin J.
(Penalty)
72'
72'
Lewis A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mount Pleasant
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Mount Pleasant have won more games recently than Tivoli.
- Tivoli are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 68%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tivoli | Mount Pleasant |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 7 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Tivoli
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Mount Pleasant
1:1
Dec 11, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Tivoli
5:0
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Tivoli
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tivoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Lewis A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Mount Pleasant Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tivoli 46 / 100
Mount Pleasant 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tivoli Mount Pleasant
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mount Pleasant let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Tivoli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tivoli scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Tivoli VS Mount Pleasant
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tivoli
(Home) 27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1 Chapelton
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1 Tivoli
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0 Humble Lions
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0 Tivoli
03 May
Tivoli
0 : 2 Cavalier
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1 Chapelton
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0 Humble Lions
03 May
Tivoli
0 : 2 Cavalier
19 Apr
Tivoli
2 : 0 FC Dunbeholden
29 Mar
Tivoli
3 : 2 Harbour View
Page 1 of 3
Mount Pleasant
(Away) 27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2 Mount Pleasant
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1 Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0 Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0 Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1 Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2 Mount Pleasant
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0 Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1 Mount Pleasant
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1 Mount Pleasant
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3 Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mount Pleasant | 39 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 69:25 | 74 |
| 2 | Montego Bay | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 79:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Portmore | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 54:35 | 66 |
| 4 | Waterhouse | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 51:32 | 65 |
| 5 | Cavalier | 39 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 57:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Racing United | 39 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 53:34 | 60 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 68:46 | 58 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 39 | 14 | 7 | 18 | 42:57 | 49 |
| 9 | FC Dunbeholden | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 40:53 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 37:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 43:59 | 43 |
| 12 | Molynes United | 39 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 45:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 53:73 | 39 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 39 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 25:111 | 26 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
