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Tivoli vs Racing United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
10:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tivoli host Racing United in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Tivoli at 1.16 goals for, 1.42 against; Racing United at 1.42 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Tivoli have won 1 to Racing United's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.94) point toward Racing United. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Tivoli
20%
Draws
42%
Racing United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Racing United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 10%
Racing United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tivoli Racing United
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.16 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Racing United vs Tivoli
0:0
Jan 22, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Racing United
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Racing United vs Tivoli
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Racing United
1:0
Jan 23, 2025 Premier League
Racing United vs Tivoli
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tivoli 34 / 100
Racing United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tivoli Racing United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tivoli's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Racing United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Tivoli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tivoli VS Racing United
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tivoli

(Home)
04 Oct
Tru-Juice FC
0 : 2
Tivoli
27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1
Chapelton
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0
Tivoli
Page 1 of 7

Racing United

(Away)
04 Oct
Molynes United
0 : 6
Racing United
27 Sept
Racing United
0 : 1
Montego Bay
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
14 May
Portmore
2 : 0
Racing United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waterhouse 4 3 1 0 14:1 10
2 Montego Bay 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Tivoli 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Cavalier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
7 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
8 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
9 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Chapelton 4 1 1 2 3:10 4
11 Molynes United 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
12 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
13 Humble Lions 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
14 FC Dunbeholden 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)