Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TJ Start Brno vs FK Frydek-Mistek

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL 2025/2026 Hřiště Loosova
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Heller J.
44' Event
Kohut T.
46'
Sub
Heller J. In: Kedron D.
Out: Heller J.

AI Match Summary

The 3. MSFL 2025/2026 game between TJ Start Brno and FK Frydek-Mistek finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Frydek-Mistek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
TJ Start Brno
6%
Draws
90%
FK Frydek-Mistek
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Frydek-Mistek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Frydek-Mistek come out ahead of TJ Start Brno on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Frydek-Mistek taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Frydek-Mistek here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
TJ Start Brno Clean Sheet 20%
FK Frydek-Mistek Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TJ Start Brno FK Frydek-Mistek
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 3. MSFL
TJ Start Brno vs FK Frydek-Mistek
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs TJ Start Brno
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs TJ Start Brno
3:2
Sep 7, 2024 3. MSFL
TJ Start Brno vs FK Frydek-Mistek
2:1
May 11, 2024 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs TJ Start Brno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TJ Start Brno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Frydek-Mistek Compare

Top Goalscorer Kohut T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TJ Start Brno 10 / 100
FK Frydek-Mistek 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TJ Start Brno FK Frydek-Mistek

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Frydek-Mistek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

TJ Start Brno found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

FK Frydek-Mistek lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TJ Start Brno VS FK Frydek-Mistek
1 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trinec34237475:2776
2Hodonin34217677:3970
3Unicov341810655:4164
4Brno B342041070:4764
5Sigma Olomouc B341951071:3362
6FK Frydek-Mistek341611754:3959
7Nove Mesto na Morave341671164:5155
8Hlubina341391253:4948
9Vsetin341361552:5445
10Vitkovice341271551:5643
11Zlin B3411101357:6443
12Slovacko B349111449:5938
13Polanka nad Odrou34981737:6235
14FK Blansko341032147:7933
15Karvina B34881840:6032
16SK Hranice34791838:6130
17Hlucin34772041:7328
18TJ Start Brno344111932:6923