Sport Picks
Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala 
Match Events
20'
20'
Garcia E.
29'
29'
Gonzalez C.
35'
35'
Sub
Figueroa F. In: Santos E.
Out: Figueroa F.
AI Match Summary
Alebrijes de Oaxaca in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tlaxcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Tlaxcala at 1.31 per game, Alebrijes de Oaxaca at 1.14.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Tlaxcala taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 16%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tlaxcala | Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala
2:3
Oct 6, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tlaxcala Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Justo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tecpanecatl A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tlaxcala 84 / 100
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tlaxcala Alebrijes de Oaxaca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tlaxcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tlaxcala's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Tlaxcala went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tlaxcala VS Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tlaxcala
(Home) 26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1 Cancun
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
06 Aug
Tlaxcala
0 : 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Jul
Tlaxcala
2 : 4 Leones Negros
Page 1 of 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Away) 25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
23 Aug
Jaiba Brava
2 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Aug
Tlaxcala
0 : 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Jul
Venados FC
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Morelia | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Leones Negros | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 17 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:20 | 16 |
| 6 | Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Alacranes de Durango | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 14 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
