Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Oliveira Silva C. H.
Assist: Figueroa F.
31'
31'
Sub
Figueroa F. In: Robles E.
Out: Figueroa F.
35'
35'
Silva J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Tlaxcala and Atlante finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tlaxcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atlante come out ahead of Tlaxcala on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Tlaxcala taking it.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 68%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tlaxcala | Atlante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Atlante
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Tlaxcala
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Tlaxcala
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Atlante
1:0
Mar 6, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Tlaxcala
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tlaxcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliveira Silva C. H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Atlante Compare
Top Goalscorer Ibarra J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tlaxcala 95 / 100
Atlante 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tlaxcala Atlante
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tlaxcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tlaxcala's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Atlante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Tlaxcala went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tlaxcala VS Atlante
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tlaxcala
(Home) 12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2 Tlaxcala
16 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
06 Aug
Tlaxcala
0 : 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Jul
Tlaxcala
2 : 4 Leones Negros
18 Apr
Tlaxcala
2 : 2 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
Atlante
(Away) 12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3 Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1 Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1 Club Leon
22 Aug
Tigres UANL
2 : 0 Atlante
15 Aug
Atlante
0 : 0 Toluca
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1 Atlante
22 Aug
Tigres UANL
2 : 0 Atlante
12 Aug
Minnesota United
3 : 1 Atlante
09 Aug
Real Salt Lake
4 : 0 Atlante
05 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
0 : 1 Atlante
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
