Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tlahuicole

Tlaxcala

2 - 1

Irapuato

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Sanchez B.

26'

Oliveira Silva C. H.

(Penalty)

42'

Blanco J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tlaxcala in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tlaxcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Tlaxcala

44%

Draws

20%

Irapuato

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Tlaxcala haven't matched Irapuato's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 16%

Irapuato Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tlaxcala	Irapuato
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	11
Draws	10	11
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	0.5	2.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX

Tlaxcala vs Irapuato

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX

Irapuato vs Tlaxcala

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Mar 8, 2020 Liga Premier Serie A

Irapuato vs Tlaxcala

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

Oct 5, 2019 Liga Premier Serie A

Tlaxcala vs Irapuato

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tlaxcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Irapuato Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tlaxcala 36 / 100

Irapuato 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tlaxcala Irapuato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tlaxcala's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Irapuato let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tlaxcala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tlaxcala VS Irapuato

0.5 Goals Scored 2.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 2

50% Over 1.5 100%

13% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tepatitlan de Morelos	14	7	5	2	21:10	26
2	Cancun	14	7	4	3	24:17	25
3	Club Atletico Morelia	14	7	2	5	18:12	23
4	Atletico La Paz	14	5	7	2	22:12	22
5	Jaiba Brava	14	6	3	5	15:15	21
6	Zacatecas Mineros	14	6	3	5	19:20	21
7	Tapatio	14	6	2	6	28:24	20
8	Atlante	14	5	5	4	21:17	20
9	Irapuato	14	6	2	6	27:24	20
10	Tlaxcala	14	5	5	4	16:17	20
11	Venados FC	14	4	4	6	25:25	16
12	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	4	4	6	20:29	16
13	Dorados de Sinaloa	14	3	4	7	17:28	13
14	Correcaminos	14	3	3	8	14:27	12
15	Leones Negros	14	2	5	7	15:25	11