Sport Picks
Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tlahuicole 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Tlaxcala in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tlaxcala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Tlaxcala lately — more wins on the board than Leones Negros.
- Tlaxcala are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tlaxcala | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tlaxcala Compare
Leones Negros Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Tlaxcala scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Leones Negros has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Tlaxcala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |