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TNS vs Ammanford Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Park Hall, Oswestry
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TNS host Ammanford Town in the Cymru Premier. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ammanford Town have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while TNS have conceded 0.76 and scored 2.41. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 3.38 vs 0.69, favoring TNS. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
TNS
15%
Draws
27%
Ammanford Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TNS come out ahead of Ammanford Town on wins alone.
  • TNS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
TNS Clean Sheet 20%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Ammanford Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.41 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 85 / 100
Ammanford Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Ammanford Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: TNS stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ammanford Town let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Ammanford Town has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Ammanford Town
3.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1
Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
Page 1 of 6

Ammanford Town

(Away)
09 Oct
Cambrian United
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)