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TNS vs Barry Town

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Park Hall, Oswestry
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Brobbel R.
53'
Sub
Sainty C. In: Barton D.
Out: Sainty C.
59'
Farrell E.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between TNS and Barry Town finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TNS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
TNS
15%
Draws
38%
Barry Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • TNS haven't matched Barry Town's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TNS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
TNS Clean Sheet 17%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Barry Town
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 19 21
Draws 3 2
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.82 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs TNS
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 League Cup
TNS vs Barry Town
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Brobbel R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Barry Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 30 / 100
Barry Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Barry Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

TNS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Barry Town has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Barry Town
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3
TNS
28 Aug
TNS
5 : 1
Colwyn Bay
21 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5
TNS
14 Aug
TNS
1 : 0
Briton Ferry
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Barry Town

(Away)
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4
Barry Town
28 Aug
Barry Town
4 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3
Barry Town
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)