Sport Picks

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TNS vs Briton Ferry

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Park Hall, Oswestry
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TNS host Briton Ferry in the Cymru Premier. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Briton Ferry have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while TNS have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor TNS slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 9, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.13, favoring TNS. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
TNS
20%
Draws
65%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Briton Ferry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TNS come out ahead of Briton Ferry on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
TNS Clean Sheet 20%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Briton Ferry
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs TNS
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Briton Ferry
0:3
Dec 22, 2024 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Briton Ferry
5:2
Nov 20, 2024 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs TNS
3:1
Feb 16, 2024 FA Cup
Briton Ferry vs TNS
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 31 / 100
Briton Ferry 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Briton Ferry's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Solid form: TNS remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Briton Ferry
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0
TNS
30 Jul
TNS
1 : 1
Flora
23 Jul
Flora
1 : 0
TNS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
TNS
Page 1 of 6

Briton Ferry

(Away)
31 Jul
Briton Ferry
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
21 Jul
Merthyr Town
3 : 0
Briton Ferry
14 Jul
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Briton Ferry
10 Jul
Oxford City
4 : 0
Briton Ferry
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff Metropolitan University 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Colwyn Bay 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Llandudno FC 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
4 Caernarfon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Briton Ferry 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Barry Town 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Airbus UK Broughton FC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 TNS 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Penybont 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Flint Town 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
11 Connahs Q. 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Cambrian United 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Ammanford Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Haverfordwest 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Trefelin 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16 Holywell Town FC 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)