Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TNS vs Connahs Q. Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Park Hall, Oswestry
TNS Logo

TNS

2 - 1
FT
Connahs Q. Logo

Connahs Q.

Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Franklin H.
49' Event
Williams J.
50' Event
Brobbel R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TNS in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TNS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
TNS
15%
Draws
34%
Connahs Q.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TNS lately — more wins on the board than Connahs Q..
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on TNS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TNS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
TNS Clean Sheet 17%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Connahs Q.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Connahs Q.
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs TNS
1:2
Dec 31, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs TNS
3:1
Sep 10, 2025 League Cup
Connahs Q. vs TNS
1:3
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Connahs Q.
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brobbel R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharif A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 57 / 100
Connahs Q. 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Connahs Q.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

TNS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Connahs Q. let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Connahs Q.
3.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1
Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2
TNS
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
Page 1 of 6

Connahs Q.

(Away)
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)