Sport Picks

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TNS vs Neath Athletic

Wales Wales

Premier 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Draper G.
57' Event
Trundle L.
61' Event
Lewis J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier 2011/2012 game between TNS and Neath Athletic finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neath Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
TNS
15%
Draws
18%
Neath Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TNS come out ahead of Neath Athletic on wins alone.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on TNS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
TNS Clean Sheet 20%
Neath Athletic Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Neath Athletic
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 23 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.85 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2012 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs TNS
0:1
Feb 25, 2012 FAW Welsh Cup
TNS vs Neath Athletic
1:0
Feb 4, 2012 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Neath Athletic
1:2
Nov 9, 2011 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs TNS
1:1
Sep 7, 2011 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Neath Athletic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Draper G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Neath Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Trundle L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lewis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 85 / 100
Neath Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Neath Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Recent resilience: TNS stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Neath Athletic conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2
TNS
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3
TNS
28 Aug
TNS
5 : 1
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 7

Neath Athletic

(Away)
21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5
Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3
Bangor City
07 Apr
Prestatyn
2 : 3
Neath Athletic
31 Mar
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Neath Athletic
25 Mar
Bala
2 : 2
Neath Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 23 5 4 75:31 74
2 Bangor City 32 22 3 7 72:45 69
3 Neath Athletic 32 18 8 6 61:36 62
4 Llanelli 32 18 5 9 63:37 59
5 Bala 32 14 7 11 48:41 49
6 Prestatyn 32 8 4 20 41:63 28
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)