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Tobermore vs Ballymena

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
McElroy P.
46' Event
(Penalty)
71' Event
McElroy P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Tobermore and Ballymena finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ballymena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tobermore
20%
Draws
50%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Ballymena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ballymena are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 15%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobermore Ballymena
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 0 8
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 2.1 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Tobermore vs Ballymena
1:3
Aug 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Tobermore vs Ballymena
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobermore Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer McElroy P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quigley C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobermore 15 / 100
Ballymena 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobermore Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ballymena conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tobermore scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Tobermore went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ballymena
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

(Home)
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4
Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2
Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1
Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1
Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5
Tobermore
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Ballymena

(Away)
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1
Ballymena
01 Aug
Annagh
2 : 2
Ballymena
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