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Tobermore vs Ballymena

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Millar L.
60' Event
Trialist
75' Event
Millar L.

AI Match Summary

Ballymena in this Club Friendly 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballymena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tobermore
20%
Draws
32%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tobermore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ballymena lately — more wins on the board than Tobermore.
  • Win probability leans Ballymena's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 12%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobermore Ballymena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 0 10
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 2.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Tobermore vs Ballymena
1:3
Aug 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Tobermore vs Ballymena
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobermore Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Millar L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobermore 27 / 100
Ballymena 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobermore Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ballymena conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tobermore scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Ballymena lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ballymena
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

(Home)
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4
Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2
Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1
Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1
Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5
Tobermore
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Ballymena

(Away)
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
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