Sport Picks
Match Events
90'
90'
Lemon A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Wakehurst advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wakehurst
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tobermore carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Tobermore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Wakehurst, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%
Wakehurst Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tobermore | Wakehurst |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 21 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.50 | 2.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 5, 2016 Irish Cup
Tobermore vs Wakehurst
2:1
Aug 13, 2013 Irish League Cup
Tobermore vs Wakehurst
0:1
May 13, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Wakehurst vs Tobermore
1:3
May 6, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Tobermore vs Wakehurst
4:0
Apr 13, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Tobermore vs Wakehurst
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tobermore Compare
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Wakehurst Compare
Top Goalscorer Lemon A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tobermore 30 / 100
Wakehurst 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tobermore Wakehurst
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wakehurst let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Tobermore scored in 74% of their last 34 games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Wakehurst lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tobermore VS Wakehurst
2.25 Goals Scored 1.8
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.4
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 80%
75% Over 3.5 80%
Recent Form & Match History
Tobermore
(Home) 13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
Page 1 of 7
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
06 Aug
Tobermore
1 : 3 Banbridge
26 Jul
Tobermore
1 : 3 Ballymena
07 Aug
Tobermore
1 : 4 Ballymena
02 Nov
Tobermore
1 : 3 Larne Technical Old Boys
Page 1 of 4
Wakehurst
(Away) 22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4 Knockbreda
28 Sept
Ardstraw
4 : 1 Wakehurst
17 Aug
Wakehurst
3 : 1 Ards Rangers
29 Sept
Wakehurst
2 : 3 Fivemiletown
18 Aug
Oxford Stars
0 : 1 Wakehurst
Page 1 of 7
28 Sept
Ardstraw
4 : 1 Wakehurst
18 Aug
Oxford Stars
0 : 1 Wakehurst
05 Nov
Tobermore
2 : 1 Wakehurst
01 Oct
Larne Technical Old Boys
1 : 2 Wakehurst
09 Jan
Portadown
6 : 1 Wakehurst
Page 1 of 5
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ards -
TBD -
Tobermore 0
Wakehurst 1
Larne 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Dungannon -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Donegal -
TBD -
Killymoon 3
Lurgan Celtic 4
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
Harland & Wolff 1
Armagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Loughgall 3
Moyola 2
TBD -
Coleraine -
Glentoran -
TBD -
Annagh 1
Ballyclare 2
Knockbreda 1
Carrick Rangers 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Portadown -
TBD -
Limavady 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Coagh Utd 3
Dergview 0
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Queens University 0
Banbridge 4
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
1/16-finals
Ards 5
Wakehurst 0
Larne 0
Dungannon 1
Institute 2
Glebe 0
PSNI 0
Glenavon 6
Bangor FC 3
Warrenpoint 2
Donegal 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Dundela 8
Chimney 1
Harland & Wolff 0
Cliftonville 3
Crusaders 3
Newington FC 1
Loughgall 1
Coleraine 2
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Knockbreda 0
Linfield 2
Portadown 4
Sport & Leisure 0
Coagh Utd 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Ballinamallard 3
Banbridge 0
Ballymoney 2
Ballymena 3
1/8-finals
Ards 2
Dungannon 1
Institute 1
Glenavon 4
Bangor FC 8
Lurgan Celtic 1
Dundela 0
Cliftonville 5
Crusaders 4
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
Portadown 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 3
Quarter-finals
Ards 4
Glenavon 3
Bangor FC 0
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 2
Linfield 1
Portadown 0
Ballymena 4
Semi-finals
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Crusaders 4
Ballymena 3
Final
Cliftonville 1
Crusaders 0
