Sport Picks
Tobol 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakhstan
First League 
AI Match Summary
Tobol 2 play Akademiya Ontustik in the First League. Akademiya Ontustik are favorites here. Recently, Tobol 2 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. Akademiya Ontustik averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Tobol 2 won 0, Akademiya Ontustik won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Tobol 2 and 2.44 for Akademiya Ontustik. This points to a Akademiya Ontustik double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tobol 2 picked up more points recently compared to Akademiya Ontustik.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.44 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tobol 2 | Akademiya Ontustik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.31 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tobol 2 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Akademiya Ontustik let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Tobol 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Akademiya Ontustik lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 40:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Shakhter Karagandy | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 35:5 | 31 |
| 3 | Turan | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Astana 2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:20 | 20 |
| 5 | Akademiya Ontustik | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Ekibastuz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Khan Tengri | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:25 | 17 |
| 9 | Taraz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Aktobe 2 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 26:39 | 16 |
| 11 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | 12 |
| 12 | Arys | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15:28 | 10 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 21:38 | 7 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8:26 | 3 |