Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tobol 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ali A.
Assist: Dzhamalov B.
25' Event
Ali A.
Assist: Makhmudov D.
43' Event
Bakitzhanov A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Akademiya Ontustik in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akademiya Ontustik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tobol 2
15%
Draws
58%
Akademiya Ontustik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Akademiya Ontustik lately — more wins on the board than Tobol 2.
  • Tobol 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol 2 Akademiya Ontustik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik
2:3
Apr 17, 2026 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Tobol 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Konyashkin Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhaksylyk N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol 2 47 / 100
Akademiya Ontustik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol 2 Akademiya Ontustik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobol 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Tobol 2's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Akademiya Ontustik conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Tobol 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tobol 2 VS Akademiya Ontustik
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobol 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

Akademiya Ontustik

(Away)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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