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Tobol 2 vs Jaiyq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Tobol 2 Logo

Tobol 2

Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Jaiyq Logo

Jaiyq

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tobol 2 host Jaiyq in the First League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Tobol 2 at 1.68 goals for, 2.36 against; Jaiyq at 0.92 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Tobol 2 have won 0 to Jaiyq's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.50, favoring Jaiyq. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Tobol 2
20%
Draws
36%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tobol 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Jaiyq have won more games recently than Tobol 2.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Tobol 2 taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol 2 Jaiyq
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.68 0.92
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Tobol 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol 2 57 / 100
Jaiyq 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol 2 Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobol 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tobol 2 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Jaiyq let in goals in 58% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Tobol 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobol 2 VS Jaiyq
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobol 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

Jaiyq

(Away)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
9 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
10 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
11 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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