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Tobol 2 vs Taraz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Tobol 2 Logo

Tobol 2

3 - 3
FT
Taraz Logo

Taraz

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Toktasynov O.
Assist: Saduakas A.
35' Event
Mukhametzhanov A.
Assist: Toybekov E.
43' Event
Kabylzagin B.
Assist: Zhaksylyk N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tobol 2
20%
Draws
58%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Taraz lately — more wins on the board than Tobol 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Taraz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol 2 Taraz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs Taraz
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabylzagin B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toktasynov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhametzhanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dairov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol 2 31 / 100
Taraz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol 2 Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tobol 2 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Taraz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Tobol 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobol 2 VS Taraz
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobol 2

(Home)
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
13 Aug
FC Astana 2
0 : 4
Tobol 2
07 Aug
Arys
3 : 0
Tobol 2
31 Jul
Tobol 2
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
24 Jul
Turan
2 : 1
Tobol 2
Page 1 of 6

Taraz

(Away)
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
14 Aug
Taraz
0 : 0
Turan
07 Aug
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Taraz
30 Jul
Taraz
2 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
24 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 18 16 1 1 51:7 49
2 Kairat Almaty 2 18 13 4 1 56:10 43
3 Turan 18 12 2 4 37:13 38
4 Akademiya Ontustik 19 10 3 6 31:25 33
5 FC Astana 2 18 8 2 8 29:33 26
6 Jaiyq 18 8 2 8 18:23 26
7 FC Ekibastuz 19 7 5 7 26:34 26
8 Taraz 19 7 4 8 24:24 25
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 18 7 3 8 27:31 24
10 Khan Tengri 19 6 3 10 23:35 21
11 Aktobe 2 19 5 5 9 34:60 20
12 Arys 19 4 3 12 20:39 15
13 Yelimay Semey 2 19 3 3 13 16:37 12
14 Tobol 2 19 2 4 13 31:52 10
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