Sport Picks
Tobol W vs Kyzylzhar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
League Women Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay 
Match Events
31'
31'
Aisapar Z.
58'
58'
Nurzhigitova S.
Assist: Aminjonova A.
74'
74'
Zholbolat A.
Assist: Botabek K.
AI Match Summary
The League Women game between Tobol W and Kyzylzhar W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kyzylzhar W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
5%
15%
80%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyzylzhar W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tobol W haven't matched Kyzylzhar W's recent run of results.
- Kyzylzhar W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Kyzylzhar W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19.2%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 10%
Kyzylzhar W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tobol W | Kyzylzhar W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 21 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 3.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.68 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 3.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 League Women
Tobol W vs Kyzylzhar W
0:3
May 19, 2026 League Women
Kyzylzhar W vs Tobol W
2:0
Aug 11, 2025 League Women
Kyzylzhar W vs Tobol W
4:0
May 12, 2025 League Women
Tobol W vs Kyzylzhar W
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tobol W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Kyzylzhar W Compare
Top Goalscorer Aisapar Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nurzhigitova S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tobol W 10 / 100
Kyzylzhar W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tobol W Kyzylzhar W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kyzylzhar W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Tobol W's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Kyzylzhar W has conceded goals in 37% of their last 30 outings.
Tobol W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tobol W VS Kyzylzhar W
0.63 Goals Scored 4.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Tobol W
(Home) 08 Sept
FC Astana W
2 : 0 Tobol W
01 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy W
1 : 0 Tobol W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey W
17 Aug
Altai W
1 : 1 Tobol W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar W
Page 1 of 7
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar W
27 Jul
Tobol W
1 : 0 Shakhter Karagandy W
20 Jul
Tobol W
0 : 12 Aktobe W
06 Jul
Tobol W
0 : 4 Zhenis Astana W
Page 1 of 3
Kyzylzhar W
(Away) 08 Sept
Kyzylzhar W
4 : 0 Altai W
01 Sept
Kyzylzhar W
7 : 0 FC Astana W
25 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 2 Kyzylzhar W
17 Aug
Kyzylzhar W
5 : 0 Okzhetpes W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar W
Page 1 of 6
25 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 2 Kyzylzhar W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar W
28 Jul
FC Astana W
0 : 6 Kyzylzhar W
14 Jul
Aktobe W
4 : 1 Kyzylzhar W
07 Jul
Shakhter Karagandy W
0 : 7 Kyzylzhar W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BIIK Shymkent W | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 132:5 | 45 |
| 2 | Tomiris-Turan W | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 51:12 | 42 |
| 3 | Kairat W | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 43:25 | 28 |
| 4 | Atyrau W | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:30 | 26 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda W | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:30 | 25 |
| 6 | Ordabasy W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:39 | 18 |
| 7 | Zhetysu W | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:43 | 15 |
| 8 | Ulytau W | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5:70 | 4 |
| 9 | Kaspij Aktau W | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1:67 | 3 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aktobe W | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 166:2 | 54 |
| 2 | Zhenis Astana W | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 71:34 | 43 |
| 3 | Kyzylzhar W | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 66:14 | 41 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey W | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 35:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Shakhter Karagandy W | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 16:69 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Astana W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 24:55 | 22 |
| 7 | Tobol W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 16:48 | 22 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar W | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:43 | 18 |
| 9 | Altai W | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10:65 | 6 |
| 10 | Okzhetpes W | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13:79 | 6 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
