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Tobol W vs Zhenis Astana W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women Centralnyj Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Sadykova L.
Assist: Tomiris A.
58' Event
Irismetova E.
Assist: Askarova A.
88' Event
Bekkozhina A.
Assist: Amanzholova M.

AI Match Summary

Zhenis Astana W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhenis Astana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tobol W
6%
Draws
90%
Zhenis Astana W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zhenis Astana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tobol W haven't matched Zhenis Astana W's recent run of results.
  • Zhenis Astana W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 10%
Zhenis Astana W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol W Zhenis Astana W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.88 4.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 League Women
Tobol W vs Zhenis Astana W
0:4
Jun 23, 2026 League Women
Zhenis Astana W vs Tobol W
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 League Women
Zhenis Astana W vs Tobol W
0:0
Apr 14, 2025 League Women
Tobol W vs Zhenis Astana W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Zhenis Astana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadykova L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Irismetova E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol W 10 / 100
Zhenis Astana W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol W Zhenis Astana W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhenis Astana W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Tobol W scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Tobol W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobol W VS Zhenis Astana W
0.88 Goals Scored 4.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W880076:024
2Tomiris-Turan W870122:221
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W851211:1316
4Kairat W841320:1013
5Atyrau W83238:1911
6Ordabasy W831410:2210
7Zhetysu W921611:247
8Ulytau W80171:331
9Kaspij Aktau W70160:361
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W101000104:130
2Zhenis Astana W971140:1822
3Kyzylzhar W952229:1017
4Yelimay Semey W1051426:2016
5FC Astana W950417:2215
6Tobol W940511:2712
7Ertis Pavlodar W932412:1311
8Shakhter Karagandy W92165:527
9Okzhetpes W91088:513
10Altai W90185:431