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Tocantinopolis U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Uniao Carmolandense U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Tocantinopolis U20
15%
Draws
53%
Uniao Carmolandense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis U20 haven't matched Uniao Carmolandense U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tocantinopolis U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Uniao Carmolandense U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Carmolandense U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uniao Carmolandense U20 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tocantinopolis U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis U20 Uniao Carmolandense U20
Matches Played 24 33
Wins 14 20
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.67 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.08 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Tocantinopolis U20
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Tocantinopolis U20
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Tocantinopolis U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20
1:2
May 13, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Uniao Carmolandense U20 vs Tocantinopolis U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis U20 56 / 100
Uniao Carmolandense U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis U20 Uniao Carmolandense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Uniao Carmolandense U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Tocantinopolis U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis U20 VS Uniao Carmolandense U20
2.5 Goals Scored 3.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis U20

(Home)
05 Nov
Paysandu PA U20
4 : 0
Tocantinopolis U20
29 Oct
Tocantinopolis U20
0 : 2
Paysandu PA U20
22 Oct
Tocantinopolis U20
3 : 0
Rolim de Moura U20
09 Jul
Batalhao U20
2 : 1
Tocantinopolis U20
06 Jul
Tocantinopolis U20
3 : 1
Batalhao U20
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Uniao Carmolandense U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 : 1
Miranda do Norte U20
04 Jul
Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 : 1
Batalhao U20
27 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20
20 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
1 : 0
Araguaia (TO) U20
13 Jun
Araguaia (TO) U20
1 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Uniao EC U20 1
Tocantinopolis U20 10
Tocantins U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 8
SD Sparta U20 3
Batalhao U20 2
Araguaina U20 1
Capital FC U20 3
Interporto U20 7
Guarai SC U20 2
Gurupi U20 3
Araguacema U20 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
Tocantinopolis U20 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20 5
SD Sparta U20 2
Capital FC U20 4
Interporto U20 5
Araguacema U20 4
TBD -
Araguacema U20 -
Semi-finals
Uniao Carmolandense U20 5
Capital FC U20 2
Interporto U20 2
Araguacema U20 4
Final
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Araguacema U20 0